Luíza Cerioli
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Neoclassical Realism and the Iran–US–Saudi Arabia triangle
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Chapter 2 delves into the book’s theoretical framework for grasping the strategic triangle. It first introduces how International Relations of the Middle East (IRME) has developed in the intersection of the discipline and Area Studies, focusing on how a dilemma between particularism and universalism has permeated the field of study. Second, it pinpoints that many outstanding works today combine Area Studies’ in-depth knowledge about the region with IR's more parsimonious theories and concepts in eclectic combinations that cope with local particularities while highlighting systemic pressures. Nevertheless, the chapter argues that this analytical eclecticism suffers from many pitfalls, particularly when it comes to contributing to the overall progressivity of the IR discipline and its de-Westernisation. For that matter, the chapter presents Neoclassical Realism (NCR) as an effective solution, as it is also a Realist course correction that opens the state’s black box to include domestic variables in structural analysis. This way, NCR is presented as a theoretical approach that can circumvent some analytical eclecticism’s shortfalls while maintaining in-depth analysis, rich explanatory, theoretical rigor, and practical value. After reviewing NCR’s foundations, objectives, and methodological preferences, the chapter presents the book’s explanative chain. While the independent variable continues to be systemic, the book explores how status satisfaction, state identity, and leadership preferences for Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United States work as variables shaping their decision-making process concerning international politics. This way, the strategic triangle, which is the dependent variable, is presented as malleable, complex, and passive of change due to external and internal pressures.

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The Persian Gulf Triangle

The relations between Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United States

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