Luíza Cerioli
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The stable marriage triangle (1979–1989)
Consolidation of the Carter Doctrine
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This chapter shows how the year 1979 forever altered the relations between Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United States. It presents the Iranian Revolution and the Iran–Iraq war as events that transformed the strategic triangle into a ‘stable marriage’, in which the US–Saudi Arabia relationship grew stronger while the other two relationships became increasingly hostile. With the Twin Pillar order gone and Iran no longer willing to guarantee Western interests, the United States and Saudi Arabia were drawn together to seek political alternatives to maintain the status quo. This chapter reassesses the Persian Gulf balance of power throughout the period and explores how status satisfaction, state identity, and leadership preferences affect the three countries’ decision-making. It shows how Iran became a revisionist country, simultaneously promoting its Islamism as emancipatory from Western domination and as an alternative political project that diverged immensely from the Saudi one. As a result, sectarianism began to permeate the Iran–Saudi ties as a tool to compete for Islamic leadership. The chapter also explains how the fear of Iran exporting its revolution cemented the US–Saudi oil-for-security partnership. Yet, Iran’s isolation was not immediate, and only by contextualising power and scrutinising the domestic variables can one fully grasp the process that led to this triangle. By the second half of the decade, Riyadh and Washington's anxiety toward the regional order reduced as it became clear that Iran would not fall under Soviet influence, and Ayatollah Khomeini consolidated the new regime despite (or thanks to) international isolation.

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The Persian Gulf Triangle

The relations between Iran, Saudi Arabia, and the United States

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